The Newbie’s Information to Tremendous Bowl Prop Betting | Males’s Journal


Tremendous Bowl 55 will in all probability be the largest sports activities betting occasion of 2021—and one of many largest, interval, since many states have now legalized sports gambling. Wish to get in on the motion? Attempt some Tremendous Bowl prop betting.



Prop bets are a enjoyable method to give your self a rooting curiosity if you happen to don’t care a lot concerning the Chiefs or the Buccaneers. They’re additionally accessible for followers who’d fairly observe smaller outcomes inside the recreation as a substitute of taking a shot on the purpose unfold (Chiefs favored by 3) or over/underneath (56.5 complete factors between the 2 groups).

In a prop wager, a bettor locations a wager on any variety of particular occasions which may happen earlier than, throughout, or after the sport. So long as you reside in a state that has legalized sports activities betting, you possibly can wager on absolutely anything, although completely different sportsbooks put up completely different wagers. In lots of states, you possibly can place bets on-line at websites like DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, however make certain to test the playing rules for the place you reside first.

Totally different prop bets would possibly embody selecting who will win the coin toss, make the primary catch of the sport, rating the ultimate landing, or win MVP honors. Plus, you possibly can wager on issues completely separate from the motion, like which participant the TV cameras will zoom in on first.

Assessing the chances for every wager will enable you to decide how a lot money you possibly can win. Odds with a plus signal point out a much less possible end result, they usually present the quantity you’d win for each $100 you wager. Odds with a minus signal point out the extra possible end result, they usually present the quantity it is advisable wager to be able to win $100. A wager at -110 odds, for instance, means a $110 wager would return $100 in revenue ($210 complete), whereas +150 means a $100 wager would return $150 ($250 complete). The longer the chances, the bigger the payout.

Listed below are seven prop bets value contemplating as you watch the sport (6:30 p.m. Jap time this Sunday on CBS). Odds might fluctuate barely relying on the place you place your bets.

The over is a major underdog on the period of the nationwide anthem, with the underneath getting -140 odds. It’s in all probability as a result of the final three anthems have all clocked in around the 1:50 mark. However this marks the primary duet since Tremendous Bowl 40 in 2006, and that one (a beautiful efficiency by Aretha Franklin and Aaron Neville) reached 2:08. And earlier than this three-year run of sub-two-minute anthems, three in a row had gone between 2:04 and a pair of:09. The combo of genres (Sullivan’s R&B, Church’s nation) may additionally add to the size of this efficiency.

Proper now, Mahomes is enjoying quarterback at the next stage than maybe anybody who has ever performed. However as sensible as he’s, he doesn’t exceed 330 air yards as typically as you’d suppose. He has performed it seven occasions in 17 common season and postseason begins this yr, and now he’s dealing with a Buccaneer protection that defends the move higher than all however a handful of groups. Mahomes is sweet sufficient to make this underneath wager look foolish, however math suggests he is not going to.

super bowl prop betting
Mark LoMoglio/AP / Shutterstock

Brady stays wonderful, and on the verge of his tenth Tremendous Bowl, he places extra air underneath the ball than folks understand (his 9.5 air yards per try lead the league by half a yard). However his three greatest wideouts, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown, have been banged as much as various levels. There’s additionally purpose to suppose the Bucs may not throw the ball a ton.

Leonard Fournette dashing yards: Over 48.5 (-118)

Derrik Klassen, an analyst for Soccer Outsiders and Rotoworld, cautions towards placing religion within the Chiefs to run the ball constantly. With Patrick Mahomes throwing, why run? However Klassen suspects the Buccaneers may be inclined to attempt to transfer the ball on the bottom.

“The Chiefs protection is abysmal towards the run, primarily as a result of some shaky play at linebacker and on the sting,” he tells Males’s Journal. “Bruce Arians would possibly really feel inclined to play the run-run-play motion system fairly than take a look at an excellent Chiefs secondary with a ton of drop-back passing.”

If the Bucs do trip the bottom recreation, Fournette is prone to see lots of carries.

super bowl prop betting
Invision/AP / Shutterstock

The Weeknd wardrobe modifications throughout halftime present: Over 0.5 (-380)

This appears like a certain factor. The Weeknd didn’t line up a Tremendous Bowl halftime present gig—maybe the most-watched gig he’ll ever carry out in his life—to put on the identical garments the whole time. However if you happen to’d wish to strive an extended shot, you possibly can wager the underneath at roughly +240, that means a $100 wager would return a $240 revenue if he caught with one outfit.

super bowl prop betting
Charlie Riedel/AP / Shutterstock

Kelce caught eight and 13 in his two playoff video games up to now. The damage report suggests he’ll maintain seeing the ball. Receiver Sammy Watkins might play however has been coping with a calf damage. Receiver DeMarcus Robinson might miss the sport due to Covid-19 protocols. Even Kelce’s backup, Deon Yelder, is simply coming off injured reserve. Well being points on the Kansas Metropolis offensive line additionally help plenty of targets for #87, even when 9 catches is a large quantity for a good finish.

“With the Chiefs offensive line not at full power, and the Buccaneers being a blitz-happy protection, Mahomes would possibly must drop a number of shorter passes to Kelce to keep away from huge losses within the backfield,” USA At the moment’s Charles McDonald says.

Tom Brady to win Tremendous Bowl MVP: (+210)

Some narratives are value shopping for into on the proper value. If the Buccaneers win, Brady is the odds-on favourite over any of his much less well-known teammates.

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